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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins Prediction, 04/22/2024 NHL picks, best bets and odds

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Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Boston Bruins

Date: Monday April 22, 2024

Place: TD Garden in Boston, MA

TV: ESPN

Odds/point spread: Maple Leaves (+116) Bruins (-141)

The Toronto Maple Leafs (46-26-10) are on their way to TD Garden on Monday, where they will take on the Boston Bruins (47-20-15) in Game 2 of their first round series. The Bruins lead the series 1-0. The moneyline in this game has the Maple Leafs at +116 and the Bruins at -141. The betting total is set at 7.

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The Toronto Maple Leafs will need a rebound game after losing 5-1 to the Bruins in Game 1. Toronto racked up 12 penalty minutes in this game. There were also 3 power play opportunities, but they were unable to make the most of them. The Maple Leafs offense left a lot to be desired in this loss. During this performance, they scored on 1 of the 36 shots they put on net.

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In terms of goal scoring, the Toronto Maple Leafs have scored 298 goals (2nd in the NHL) and given up 261 this season. For the current season, they have earned 102 points and their points percentage is at .622. Toronto has 238 power play opportunities and they scored 57 goals from these advantages, giving them a percentage of 23.95%. Although at even strength, the Maple Leafs conceded 206 goals while conceding 241 themselves. Toronto has taken 2,671 shots and owns an 11.2% shooting percentage. The Maple Leafs have had 2,446 shots taken against them and have a save percentage of .893. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have earned 238 power play opportunities (22nd in hockey) and have scored 55 goals in those opportunities.

The man in goal for this match is Ilya Samsonov. Opponents have scored 444 goals against Samsonov in his NHL career and his goals against average is 2.76. Samsonov has played in 171 games during his professional hockey career. His save percentage currently sits at .904 in his 9,642 minutes on the ice. He has a mark of 102-39-21 and has been named a starter in 159 games. During his on-ice career, Samsonov has made 79 quality starts and his quality start percentage sits at .497. Samsonov has attempted 4,604 shots against him and has racked up 4,160 saves in total.

In Game 1, Boston took on the Maple Leafs in a match where the Bruins emerged victorious by a final of 5-1. They had 5 power play attempts in this game and scored on 2 of those chances. The Bruins converted 5 goals out of the 24 shots on goal they chased.

The Bruins have scored 209 goals at even strength and 54 goals (14th in the league) while having more men on the ice. Boston has attempted 2,399 shots (22nd in the NHL) and has earned a shooting percentage of 10.96% while allowing the other team 2,504 shots. Over the course of the season, the Boston Bruins accounted for 263 goals, 109 points, in addition to a points percentage of .665. They have allowed 221 goals to be scored from a combination of 174 goals at even strength and 47 goals while short-handed. They have earned 243 chances on the power play and they have earned a power play percentage of 22.22%. They have recorded a penalty kill percentage of 82.46% on their opponents’ 268 power play opportunities, and their save percentage stands at 91.2%.

On the other side of the ice rink you will find Jeremy Swayman between the pipes. Swayman has a career mark of 79-33-15 and has played in 132 games. Swayman’s quality start percentage stands at 64.8% and he has made 81 quality starts in his career. He has 3,327 saves to his name out of 3,622 shots made against him, giving him a percentage of .919. His opponents average 2.34 goals per match and he has scored 295 goals in total. He has started 125 games and has logged 7,571 minutes.

Who will win tonight’s NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony’s Pick: Take Toronto (+116)

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